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EFLカップ
EFLカップ
1-y raund 07.08.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 19:00 UTC 1-y raund
Finished

EFLカップ

Middlesbrough - Wrexham

Football
Stadium Riversayd (Midlsbro, England)
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1 : 0
Finished
Wrexham
Wrexham

Middlesbrough go head-to-head with Wrexham on August 7, 2026 in the EFLカップ.

Recent form (W-D-L): Middlesbrough 0-3-2, Wrexham 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Middlesbrough — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Middlesbrough): model 42% · market 55% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Middlesbrough54.7%
X · draw24.3%
2 · Wrexham21.0%

Model estimate: win Middlesbrough 54.7%, draw 24.3%, win Wrexham 21.0%. Model favourite — Middlesbrough.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Middlesbrough (odds2.40) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs Midlsbro: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Middlesbrough - Wrexham August 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Middlesbrough.

Line favourite Fonbet: Middlesbrough. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 6.00 / 2 4.70
  • Glicko: Middlesbrough 54.7% / X 24.3% / Wrexham 21.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9% 3 books · best price +3.0%
1 55.5%
X 24.4%
2 20.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

League Cup
Best price across 14 books
1 1.76 Dafabet
X 3.95 Dafabet
2 4.60 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Middlesbrough
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 1.69 Conceded 2.27 xG 1.49 xGA 1.45 Corners 5.7
Wrexham
W-D-L 2-3-2 Scored 1.89 Conceded 1.78 xG 1.36 xGA 1.30 Corners 4.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Middlesbrough
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
6.00
Wrexham
20%
71.00
Handicap
Middlesbrough (0)
73%
1.31
Wrexham (0)
27%
12.00
Total
Over 2.5
55%
11.00
Under 2.5
45%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Stadium Riversayd (Midlsbro, England)
Start 07.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 71.5% @ 1.05 / X 12.5% @ 6.00 / 2 16.0% @ 4.70
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Middlesbrough 55%
💹 Market Middlesbrough 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Middlesbrough - Wrexham

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Midlsbro - Reksem, 7 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup Angliyskoy futbolnoy ligi 2026/27, 1-y raund. Midlsbro - Reksem, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.7% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.308 / LogLoss 0.603
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.7% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.308 / LogLoss 0.603
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Middlesbrough 55.5% 54.7% market and model agree
Draw 24.4% 24.3% draw risk
Wrexham 20.1% 21.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.7% / 24.3% / 21.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,533 Middlesbrough / Leeds
RD 350 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,032-2,033 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.65 market consensus · no value · model 21.0%
X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 54.7%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 79.0%
X2 7.30 Fonbet · weak value +230.7% · model 45.3%
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.03 49.3%
yes 6.20 16.1% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 7.30 13.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.23 44.8%
X 2.36 42.4%
5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 31 vr Solomon Brinn
  • 2 zsch Kallum Britten
  • 12 zsch Lyuk Eyling
  • 29 zsch Adilson Malanda
  • 30 zsch Neto Borzhes
  • 6 pz Sebastyan Berkhalter
  • 19 pz Leo Kastldin
  • 7 np Uill Lenkshir
  • 11 np Morgan Uittaker
  • 16 np Dzheremi Sarmiento
Middlesbrough

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Wrexham

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-2-0, avg 2.33 gls
2026-08-07 · Midlsbro 1:0 Reksem
2026-05-02 · Midlsbro 2:2 Reksem
2025-10-25 · Midlsbro 1:1 Reksem
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.79 (Winline) · X 3.9 (Liga Stavok) · 2 4.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.62 3.7 4.5
Winline 1.79 3.86 4.13
Fonbet 1.62 3.7 4.5
Betcity 1.68 3.8 4.5
Liga Stavok 1.78 3.9 4.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

54 Ball possession 46
14 Vsego udarov 9
3 Shots on target 2
8 Shots off target 4
6 Udary ot vorot 14
3 Blokirovannye udary 3
12 Shtrafnye 9
7 Corners 3
0 Offsides 3
20 Auty 19
2 Saves 2
9 Fouls 9
1 Cards total 4
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
0 Travmy 0
4 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Middlesbrough
D D L L D
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3:3 Espanyol
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Middlesbrough Celtic 1:1 Middlesbrough
2026-05-23 Championship 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Middlesbrough Hull City 1:0 Middlesbrough
2026-05-12 Championship 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Middlesbrough Southampton 2:1 Middlesbrough
2026-05-09 Championship 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0:0 Southampton
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Wrexham
L L W W D
2026-08-02 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sunderland 1:0 Wrexham Wrexham
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Liverpool 1:0 Wrexham Wrexham
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leeds 2:3 Wrexham Wrexham
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Manchester United 0:1 Wrexham Wrexham
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wisla Krakow 0:0 Wrexham Wrexham
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMiddlesbrough - Wrexham

Middlesbrough
1 matches total
Wrexham
Middlesbrough: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Wrexham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 2026-05-02) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (2026-05-02) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-05-02 Championship 25/26
Wrexham 2:2 Middlesbrough
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Middlesbrough
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Wrexham
Middlesbrough Team comparison Wrexham
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Midlsbro Reksem 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Uill Lenkshir Sebastyan Berkhalter 1:0 61' Nakazaniya Lyuis O'Brayen 43' Sem Smit 56' Morgan Uittaker 69' Dominik Khayam 85' Kallum Doyl 90+1'