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ブラジレイロ セリエC、グループA
ブラジレイロ セリエC、グループA
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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ブラジレイロ セリエC、グループA

Maringá - Amazonas

Football
M
Maringá
- : -
Not started
Amazonas
Amazonas

Maringá go head-to-head with Amazonas on August 9, 2026 in the ブラジレイロ セリエC、グループA.

Recent form (W-D-L): Maringá 2-2-1, Amazonas 0-1-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Maringá58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Maringá): model 59% · market 58% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Maringá ✓ Pick58.1%
market58%
X · draw24.7%
market25%
2 · Amazonas17.2%
market17%

Model estimate: win Maringá 58.1%, draw 24.7%, win Amazonas 17.2%. Model favourite — Maringá.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Maringá (odds1.59) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Malinga: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maringá - Amazonas August 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Maringá. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 3.80 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 58.0%
X 24.9%
2 17.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie C
League table
Maringá
#623 ptsGP 156-5-428:25
Amazonas
#1220 ptsGP 156-2-715:20
Best price across 12 books
1 1.65 Betano
X 3.90 Betfair
2 5.60 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Maringá
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.41 xGA 1.09
Amazonas
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.05 xGA 1.12

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Maringá
Rating 1567 xG 1.82 Win 59%
Amazonas
Rating 1487 xG 0.92 Win 19%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Maringá
58%
1.60
Draw
25%
3.80
Amazonas
17%
5.40
Total
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Under 2.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Maringá 1 : 1 Amazonas
11.58
X3.60
25.24

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 58.2% @ 1.60 / X 24.5% @ 3.80 / 2 17.3% @ 5.40
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Maringá 58%
💹 Market Maringá 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Maringá - Amazonas

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Maringá 58.0% 58.1% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
Amazonas 17.1% 17.2%
xG - 1.82 : 0.92

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.1% / 24.7% / 17.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,727 / 1,278 Maringa / Amazonas
RD 209 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,310-2,145 / 952-1,604 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 market consensus · no value · model 17.2%
X 3.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 82.8%
X2 2.18 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.69 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.73 57.8%
yes 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3%
x2 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.08 48.1%
X 2.28 43.9%
5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.66 37.6%
Under 1.5 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Maringá
W D D L W
2026-07-04 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringá Maringa 4:0 Volta Redonda
2026-06-15 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringá Maringa 0:0 Maranhao
2026-05-23 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringá Maringa 1:1 Santa Cruz
2026-05-11 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringá Maringa 0:5 Guarani
2026-05-03 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringá Maringa 4:2 Itabaiana
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Amazonas
L L D L L
2026-07-12 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Internacional 1:0 Amazonas Amazonas
2026-06-30 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Volta Redonda 3:0 Amazonas Amazonas
2026-06-21 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Barra 1:1 Amazonas Amazonas
2026-05-31 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Guarani 5:0 Amazonas Amazonas
2026-05-16 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Floresta 3:2 Amazonas Amazonas
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaringá - Amazonas

Maringá
1 matches total
Amazonas
Maringá: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Amazonas: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Amazonas 0:1 (2024-03-15) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 2024-03-15) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2024-03-15 Brasileiro Serie C 2026
Maringa 0:1 Amazonas